It's a weather story. After experiencing an incredible Arctic weather pattern in most of December there is now evidence of a warm-up after Christmas.
Heating oil is ascendant right now, while interest in gasoline wanes. The size of the distillate draw wasn't spectacular but is disconcerting given that we are approaching the heating season.
Heating oil is ascendant right now, while interest in gasoline wanes.
Nobody knows the full extent of the damage. The speculation is that it will be worse than Ivan, but we won't really know for days, until oil companies get personnel out there and survey the damage.
Nobody knows the full extent of the damage, ... The speculation is that it will be worse than Ivan, but we won't really know for days, until oil companies get personnel out there and survey the damage.
There will likely be a brief (post-hurricane) spike as with Katrina. Hopefully it will not be prolonged.
Even with the crude draw, we still have a lot of it with supplies still above normal.
Eventually we'll turn around on geopolitical concerns about Iran, but as far as the inventories are concerned it's pretty bearish.
There is a lack of heating demand. We're experiencing a very unusual warm pattern in the United States. Also, the DOE (inventory) expectations are pretty bearish for tomorrow.
Gasoline will continue to lead other energy contracts until Gulf-area refineries return and European imports start to arrive.