Robert Pavlik Quotations

Both the bond and stock markets will watch this report carefully, looking for any additional signs of rising prices in the production process. The trend for the overall report has been on the rise, while the core appears as though it may have reached a top.

If Cisco can start to bring their business around and have a good report after not doing very much of anything for the last year and a half or so, I think that just brings a better feeling to a bit of an oversold market. The Pepsi report helped a little bit and McDonald's sales performance.

This is a volatile report, yet it garners attention because it provides insight as to how the consumer feels, which is all-important right now. A low reading due to higher oil prices may negatively impact retailers.

We'd like to see this number strengthen, however, estimates have been revised lower, which is possibly a result of the same affliction that caused the drop in durable goods two weeks ago, namely a slowdown in aircraft orders.

In the initial planning, I was the main representative in the forming of learning centers and principles that could be incorporated into the Pier Wisconsin center.

The market, especially the bond market, will view the report as negative since it will likely mean that we are facing at least two more increases in interest rates by the Federal Reserve at both the March 28 and May 10 meetings.

The market being at these higher levels draws interest in and of itself.

Today was a bit disappointing. The bond market has a flat yield curve and people are still concerned about inflation. We're still left looking for any indication that the Federal Reserve won't raise rates as much as people are fearing.

If we get a GDP or deflator number that's much stronger than the consensus estimate, then it could hurt the market because people will be talking about a tougher Fed.

Also some of today's selling pressure is a result of a very quiet market, with many professional investors taking the final trading of 2005 as a holiday, combined with some last minute cleaning up of portfolios by those investment managers who have made it in today.