Subodh Kumar Quotations

People looking toward putting money into the banking stocks have taken it out of the resources as opposed to taking it out of things like BCE and Nortel,

Generally, I don't think it will be a damper on earnings. There are some things you can measure like near-term revenue loss because restaurants have been shut off and stores have been shut off. But if you look at previous disasters like Hurricane Andrew, the expenditure on replacement of homes and capital goods and spending on things like supplies for workers was quite strong.

If you look at things in a one- or two-year time frame, they are not as bad as they seem but executives are emphasizing the here and now.

In the very short term, you are seeing a response to the economic news, and that can give the market some buoyancy. Whereas in September and October, the above-consensus earnings enabled the market to perform better than it traditionally has, in November the focus switches to the economy.

In the last few months, there's been a lot of volatility. I look for less volatility in the markets. And I look for the leadership to evolve to the following areas -- where the rates stay in check - the banks, the utility stocks - those do very well, and financial services and utilities. And the second area that I would look for to do better would be companies with real earnings but relatively low multiples, and examples of those are the communications companies and semiconductor stocks,

Sooner or later it will be appropriate for the Fed to pause, regardless of whether or not we get a signal in that direction. There is no reason for them to invert the yield curve. Inflation is contained and the economy is okay. I don't see a reason for them to take the risk of keeping raising rates.

I see volatility until the end of the month. With earnings season near and energy prices high there will be volatility.

The markets themselves are in sort of a show-me kind of a mood. They're saying with respect to earnings, we'll believe it when we see it.

The market is showing the classic signs of the beginning of a cycle, a new bull market.

I think that the objective of the interest rate hikes is to keep the economy in the 3-1/2, maybe 3-3/4 range. So the Fed has been saying all along, give us 12 months from when we start to raise rates and we'll get the trajectory down. And I think that's what they've done.