Unless the Bush administration can successfully counter recent criticism, Bush and consumer confidence might continue to flounder. If so, the markets will justifiably worry about Bush's chances of re-election.
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now. It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now, ... It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
Each one-dollar change in oil prices has a $7 billion per year impact on consumer spending. So the gain in oil prices recently, from $25 a barrel to $37, is an enormous influence on the economy -- $84 billion, in other words.
The inflation news due out on Friday with the producer price index and next Tuesday with the consumer price index will probably be unfriendly,