If we see inflation to continue to come in on the soft side, then the market will intensify its speculation that the peak in U.S. rates is quite close.
Failure to meet market expectations here will reinforce the market perception that the peak in US rates is clear, putting the dollar under renewed pressure.
The minutes are a very important event today, with any adjustment suggesting that the peak in rates is close, as we believe it is, seen putting the dollar under further pressure.