It does follow a pattern. Voters want good government, but they also want it within their ideological framework.
Yes, Virginia voters will approve the amendment when asked, probably handily. After all, it gives them the right to re-elect a governor they like. They can still send packing a governor they dislike.
The sixth year of a two-term president's administration is typically an opportunity for voters to send a message. It's not going to be a pretty message for Bush, if his popularity stays this low.
But his greatest problem is that it is hard to see him as offering voters anything other than George W. Bush's third term. And even Bush Republicans realize that the American people don't want that.
These areas tend to be home to high-income, highly educated voters who show up at the polls. These are areas that are changing the fastest, have people arriving in enormous numbers, have demands for better schools, better roads - and politicians have to be responsive to them.