There is no longer a shadow of doubt that the U.S. economy is downshifting rapidly; the only question is how deep the slowdown goes, ... We do not expect to see recession in 2001, but we certainly expect to see significantly slower growth with continued moderating inflation.
This production figure emphasizes that the US economy had solid underlying momentum heading into month-end,
While this report yielded few surprises, it simply highlights the relentless strength in the economy and provides more ammunition for the Fed to continue tightening policy,
It's an unmitigated negative for the economy -- but hopefully it's temporary.
These two key reports reinforce the underlying story of red-hot growth and stable inflation, which was the hallmark of the U.S. economy in 1999,
I do believe there is still evidence that the economy is red hot, and I think the Federal Reserve will be monitoring the income numbers closely to decide whether to go 25 basis points or 50 at their upcoming policy meeting.
The economy is in very good shape and people don't realize it. We really do have low inflation and low unemployment, and the economy has been growing at a rate of 3 percent or better since the last recession.