I believe the current decline in stocks could have a significant influence on the economy -- and hence, bonds -- if the stock decline is sustained.
It is conceivable, for example, that the current weakness in stock prices may already reflect the weak earnings news that will be released over the next several weeks and the stock market might unwind some of its excess pessimism,
This just is a reflection of the current environment with oil prices rising, security concerns. All of these factors are pushing players to buy bonds over stocks.
The distinction (of the phone survey) is important, ... Because it suggests that the ABC/ Money poll is more current and may have captured more of the impact of the recent stock market decline than did the Conference Board's.