The economic picture has not changed and it is still one that shows growth will be strong. The data we are seeing does not argue for a sustainable decline in yields.
The Fed is concerned that higher energy costs may give an adverse impact on growth rather than posing a risk to faster inflation. Producer prices also showed latent inflationary pressure eased.
Employment growth will keep the economy going and the bond market will be susceptible to the strength of the data that will push the Fed to hike rates again. We expect yields to rise.