We doubt a buyer gets in front of risk that a strike cripples GM North America. UAW negotiations tend to go down to the wire -- now March 31 -- so a GMAC sale is harder to envision before sometime in the second quarter.
The employee discounts created a spike and now it's a case of the higher they climb, the harder they fall.
We remain confident GM will offer some assistance to Delphi, but bankruptcy risk cannot be ignored. We think GM would find it hard to justify not offering its struggling, former captive supplier, Delphi, some form of assistance.