I think we've got a shot. He's a come-from-behind horse who needs a good pace to run at. He had a good work (five furlongs in 1:01 4/5) at Louisiana Downs Saturday and he's coming into the race good. In his last race there was just no pace to run at.
I'm probably going to run Shaky Town back on the turf somewhere, so we'll go with Absent Friend. He'll arrive on Wednesday morning and Patrick Valenzuela will ride Saturday.