Lars Christensenwas a Norwegian shipowner and whaling magnate with a keen interest in the exploration of Antarctica... (wikipedia)
We're still concerned, however, about the imbalances in the economy, but it's positive that the central bank is reacting.
People want to have an experience when they take a shower. They want to enjoy themselves in a standing spa. But they don't have the time to lay in a whirlpool for a half-hour.
We conclude that Iceland on almost all measures looks worse than Thailand did before its crisis in 1997 and only moderately more healthy than Turkey before its 2001-crisis.
This will give the government some breathing space and bring short-term relief to the market. Although we still have to find out what deals were made to bring about this vote, the zloty will rally on this news.
We see a substantial risk of a financial crisis as an integral part of an Icelandic 2006-2007 recession. The funding squeeze of the banks will probably force them to reduce lending to domestic players, and force a sell off of external assets.
In a low-yield environment, there was a lot of interest in high-yield markets such as the Icelandic. But with yields on the rise in Europe and the U.S., we want to see a lot more quality before we feel comfortable investing, as high yields alone are no longer enough.
Icelandic banks have effectively been shut out of global credit markets, and a credit crisis is just around the corner.
The central bank is much more likely to tolerate a strong currency because of inflation. The market is speculating the koruna will gain.