Nate Silver Predictions Quotations

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.

The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions.

We need to stop, and admit it: we have a prediction problem. We love to predict things—and we aren’t very good at it.