Paul Anthony Elliott Bew, Baron Bew is a Northern Irish historian. He has worked at Queen's University Belfast since 1979, and is currently Professor of Irish Politics, a position he has held since 1991... (wikipedia)
faces enormous difficulties, and most of its members are inclined towards respectability ... this is the fundamental fact about the Orange Order. It's going to cause unease; there is the danger of splits. This is a very difficult moment for this movement.
The RUC is perhaps the biggest outstanding issue in this process,
Right now, the 'no' people have really got off the ground. They're really making a very strong emotional pitch to people, and they are having some effect.
They're not just talking about a revival of the old agreement but they're adding on policing and justice and ministries. This is the key sticking point.
It's actually unlikely that the Paisley campaign can win, in the sense that it can prevent this referendum (from) being passed.
It's clear that there is still significant opposition. There's no question of that,
If you think of these weapons coming in from Libya in the 1980s and and now being put beyond use in this fashion, from that angle it is historic,