Qu Hongbin Quotations

There are various hidden uncertainties if we look at the main growth engines. Exports depend on external factors and it will be a big question as to whether China's exports can be a single flower blossoming if the world economy slows next year.

Simply because as a matter of fact China still has plenty of rural surplus laborers and people are talking about a magnitude of more than 200 million - so you know from national-wide point of view, there is plenty of labor supply there.

China's economy has so far performed better than people had expected. Export growth is also stronger than expected.

Given the evidence of deteriorating investment efficiency, China needs to rebalance its growth by shifting away from investment toward consumption.

We need to read this with caution, this is largely a reflection of the Chinese New Year distortion, therefore we should not see it as a pick up in inflation.

The government has to spend more on education, healthcare and pensions to take the burden off individuals and give them more confidence to spend.

The government should create more jobs in the manufacturing and service sectors as part of it ongoing campaign to reduce the country's rural population.

We expect growth in fixed investment to slow from 27 percent last year to 15 percent in 2004 and around 10 percent in 2005,

This slowdown, together with new capacity, is likely to have a material impact on global demand for commodities over the next two years,

There's only one conclusion: Continuing to bolster labor-intensive production and exports is the only viable means for China to absorb its surplus labor and improve rural living standards.

It's a challenging task but that shouldn't be an excuse for China not starting on it right now.

It's roughly in line with what people expected, and if you discount the Chinese New Year effect, the number would probably not look so high.

The key to bolstering domestic consumption is to shore up citizens' personal incomes.

Investments will slow and producer prices should come down. What we'll see now is a modest slowdown.

How Chinese exports perform is largely driven by external demand rather than the exchange rate,

You could say China is actually 20 percent richer than anybody initially thought.