Art Hogan Ark Quotations

Historically, the market has tried to move four months ahead of an economic recovery.

This was a nice way to start off the new year. A lot of this was driven by the fact that the Fed confirmed that end is in sight. We've held onto the belief that when the Fed ends that stock prices will go up. We'll still have rate hikes but the market is celebrating that we'll see an ending sooner than later.

We set the mark kind of high with the Goldman Sachs' report, so we're not positive its brethren in the space can follow through and equally outperform.

There's a lot of trepidation out there about earnings, ... A lot of times, the complexion of markets is what the household names are doing. A couple of weeks ago it was about IBM ( Research ) and Apple ( Research ). Today, it looks like the focus is on Amazon, and that can shape the market -- at least in the early going.

Not to be heartless, but this is very good for Wall Street, ... And I think that is why we are seeing this market take off in the early going.

The way the markets have been trading this year,

I think this market can hold on to this rally and start trending higher.

I think there's a lot of things going on, ... We had some good news from companies like Oracle, great economic data this morning, and you had the market clear two key psychological hurdles recently -- the Dow passing 10,000 and the capture of Saddam Hussein. All of that brings buyers back in for the short term.

This may be a very volatile trading session. The market wants good numbers, but an exceedingly good report may lead to further rates increases, and that's not good for stocks. On the other hand, a bad report on top of disappointing earnings, could spark another sell-off.

I think the semiconductors and the Nasdaq had sold off a little more than the rest of the market recently, so you're seeing them gain, ... But basically we're all waiting for everything that happens next week.

It didn't really come as a surprise -- but, having said that, the broader thought process that the economy isn't doing well in the second half compared with the first half has investors concerned that we may need to test the lows of the market again.

In terms of the thought process on the economy, today's ISM data on the services sector didn't help. It didn't really come as a surprise -- but, having said that, the broader thought process that the economy isn't doing well in the second half compared with the first half has investors concerned that we may need to test the lows of the market again.

The market got whacked for no good reason on Friday.

We're seeing better earnings news in corporate America. That's what the market is celebrating, ... We made major collateral damage to stocks in the last six weeks and over a larger 2-1/2-year period. What's happening now is that the market is bottoming out and is building a higher support base in the process.

The global reaction to this is more of a psychological response than a rational one. People wake up and read whatever wire service they're going to read and realize that one of the major Asian markets was down by up to 6 percent overnight, and there are a number of tech earnings disappointments and it tends to cascade. Eventually you get a more rational response after people have time to come to terms with what is really happening.

It's another piece of the ongoing trend of a slowing economy, ... The credit tightening cycle is nearing an end and we have the equity markets celebrating that.

Investors feel that the Fed's action on Tuesday, May 16, has been priced into the market and it's safe to get back into the water,

We've had a lot of bad news today -- the economic data, Cigna and the insurance sector is doing poorly, a bunch of companies missing estimates or warning -- but this is a market that really doesn't want to sell off,

We need some capitulation in the economy and if we get any sort of turnaround in the economy we can turn this market around on the Nasdaq. We're clearly in a market searching for a bottom.

The equity market is a very forward pricing mechanism, ... I think what's going to happen to Microsoft happened over the past few weeks. The damage has been priced in.

The equities markets are very forward pricing mechanisms so the (corporate) news you're hearing has been priced into the market, for the most part. The news that you should focus on is what will be suggested in the commentary that comes out because we're trying to invest for fourth-quarter growth.

Concerns about higher interest rates and the yield on the 10-year note may keep stocks on the south side again this morning. The higher yield ... acts as a tax on corporations, and it may also attract money to the bond markets from equities.

The Fed will take the rising price of oil into consideration when it meets, ... The market is still pricing in a rate hike at the end of June, but the question becomes what happens if oil stays above $42 a barrel.

We have to get used to the fact that the emergency level of the fed funds rate is behind us, ... The sooner we become cognizant of the fact that the global economy won't be crushed and corporate earnings won't roll over, the sooner the market will fight its way to trend higher.

I don't we're seeing we see the collateral damage to broader market that we did in the fourth quarter,

The market was up 5 percent and then the Fed gave us this gift.

The markets are hanging on nicely, considering the massive gains yesterday, ... Clearly, if the market can hold onto its gains from yesterday, and through the weak durable goods report today, the path of least resistance is upside.

The market has been able to stomach a lot of bad news -- we've seen disasters every day and the market has trended higher, ... This is day four, so it's only natural to want to take profits.

The market is keeping in lockstep with energy prices, ... As we get a better handle on the short-term and long-term impact of high energy prices, the market is able to rationalize a bit better.

The market is going to shrug that off. We spent so much time pricing in so much bad news, we can actually move on now.

Today was one of the days where everything was negative. The market did hold in there pretty well, though. We're finishing up the week showing how much volatility we should expect over the next few weeks. We should be pleased we ended up where we did because it could've been a lot worse.

I think we'll see the stock market trying to price that (rate cuts) in the second quarter.

It's going to have a lot of volatility in the market place.

Cleary this had been a disappointing first half. But I would argue that long-term investors need this kind of an education to show them that markets don't go up forever.

Fifty-two percent of the households in America are invested in the U.S. stock market and they want to invest in the things that had 70 percent growth last year, ... As long as the money keeps flowing into equity mutual funds and they are targeted toward Nasdaq stocks, we are going to see this go on for a while.

When the Dow was doing its swan song yesterday (Thursday), the money was staying in the market and rotating into tech, ... That's the first time that's happened this year and that's good news -- folks are changing their minds about the sectors but they're staying in the market.

Today we had some positive economic data and we came into the market oversold, ... I don't think we've fixed the oversold position -- I think we're still cheap. Tomorrow there will be some focus on factory orders and Cisco earnings.

We've seen some really good stuff and some really rough stuff, ... The market has worked its way through a bottom, at least on the Nasdaq and S&P. Money is rotating, so that means it's staying in the market and that's good news.

All of the news we got today was negative and the market was defying it ... the news was atrocious today,

I think the fact that we had this awful bombing ... and yet the market seems to be moving on, that it's starting to become sort of priced into the marketplace. We may get investors to get back in off the sidelines at some juncture as we start to get earnings reports for the quarter.

People are bid up the market by the close to get ahead of the Fed on the hope of a 'Fed bounce' tomorrow (Tuesday), ... We're still well within the time frame of the Fed's monetary policy stimulating the economy, but people are just tired of waiting for it.

During earnings, we're often in a trading range, and I think we still are right now. We've got 100 members of the S&P reporting this week, a lot of economic news and the Fed tomorrow, so for the market to go sideways a bit is not a bad thing.

I think the market will continue to drift without any real direction until we get Friday's employment report and investors get a sense of the current economic outlook.

I think the market has discounted a lot of the bad second-quarter chatter we're going to hear, and my guess is that conference calls going forward are going to be much more positive,

I'm not sure how judicious it is, but the market looks like it will move energy to the side stage, while rate hikes and the Federal Open Market Committee again take center stage.

Next week we really kick that (warnings) season off. There's going to be more Gateways out there, and that's not going to help. People will make the argument that a lot of that bad news has been priced into the market already, but it certainly wasn't yesterday.

The second quarter is lining up to be another good quarter but people are looking ahead to the third and fourth quarters. Barring any major upsets on the earnings calendar I'd say the market is pretty range bound.